Lecco 2-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.63/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.07
+27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
08.04.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
04.12.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
01.05.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
05.02.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
29.09.2021 Lecco Lecco 3-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
2-1
AWAY Pro Patria
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco edged past Pro Patria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Lecco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 59% of the ball to Pro Patria's 41%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lecco and 1.33 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Pro Patria?

Lecco 2-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lecco 40%, draw 27%, Pro Patria 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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