Gubbio 0-3 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.66/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.37
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
21.02.2021 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-2 HT 1-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
25.10.2020 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
0-3
AWAY Legnago Salus
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus cruised past Gubbio 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gubbio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gubbio had 58% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 42%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gubbio had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gubbio and 0.33 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Legnago Salus?

Gubbio 0-3 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 49%, draw 26%, Legnago Salus 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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