Athletic Carpi 0-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 34%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.64/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.36
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pianese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
13.10.2024 Pianese Pianese 1-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
0-1
AWAY Pianese
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese edged past Athletic Carpi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 54% of the ball to Pianese's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

Athletic Carpi 0-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 35%, draw 28%, Pianese 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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