SPAL 1-2 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+12.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 31%
-27% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.04/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Campobasso
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
13.10.2024 Campobasso Campobasso 4-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
1-2
AWAY Campobasso
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over SPAL 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Campobasso found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SPAL had 61% of the ball to Campobasso's 39%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Campobasso?

SPAL 1-2 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SPAL 32%, draw 29%, Campobasso 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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