Caldiero Terme 2-3 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
58%
Away Win
62%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
-27% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
13.10.2024 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-0 Caldiero Terme İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
2-3
AWAY FeralpiSalo
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo nicked a narrow win over Caldiero Terme 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 51% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 49%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs FeralpiSalo?

Caldiero Terme 2-3 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 16%, draw 26%, FeralpiSalo 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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