Umm Salal 3-1 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.04
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.37/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.91
+8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
13.2 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
200 Passes 424
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
07.05.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-4 HT 1-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATEK
04.04.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
01.11.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.10.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
16.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
3-1
AWAY Al Wakrah
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal saw off Al Wakrah 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Umm Salal had 38% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 62%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umm Salal and 2.00 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Umm Salal 3-1 Al Wakrah in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 46%, draw 22%, Al Wakrah 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KATYK More Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup
16 Nov 2025
00:00 Al Mesaimeer vs Al Khor Analysis →
17:30 Al Muaidar vs Al Kharitiyath Analysis →