Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Wakrah v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
Al Wakrah 3-2 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Wakrah edged past Umm Salal 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wakrah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Wakrah had 65% of the ball to Umm Salal's 35%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wakrah and 0.83 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal?
Al Wakrah 3-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 61%, draw 19%, Umm Salal 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wakrah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.