Al Shahaniya 1-2 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.8pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.76/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
-39% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.5 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 2.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2025 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KUVEK
04.04.2025 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
01.11.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
11.10.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
26.07.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
01.12.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Al Shahaniya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shahaniya and 1.67 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Al Shahaniya 1-2 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 30%, draw 26%, Al Ahli 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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