St. Gallen 3-1 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
10%
6.35
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.31
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.71/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.40
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.9 Crosses 22.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
428 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Sion Sion 3-2 HT 3-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
13.05.2025 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.04.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
02.11.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
27.10.2024 Sion Sion 2-2 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
3-1
AWAY Sion
3.14 xG 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
287 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen got the better of Sion 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Gallen had 49% of the ball to Sion's 51%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.14 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Sion?

St. Gallen 3-1 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 40%, draw 26%, Sion 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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