AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 16 Dec 2025

AFC Amsterdamsche
1-3 HT 1-1
NEC Nijmegen
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

AFC Amsterdamsche vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.61
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.73
2-3 Goals
30%
2.03
4-5 Goals
32%
2.5
6+ Goals
18%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.2pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.6pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+2.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-3.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+3.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.2pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Amsterdamsche v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 66%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.82/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.90/1.02
+85% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +28%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
261 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.9
– Crosses 28.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-3
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.33 xG 2.96
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
117 Passes 498
59% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen got the better of AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 26% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 74%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.33 to 2.96.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs NEC Nijmegen?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 21%, draw 15%, NEC Nijmegen 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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