PSV Eindhoven 3-0 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
24.45
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
33%
4.28
4-5 Goals
34%
2.41
6+ Goals
17%
1.79
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.28 — our 33% vs market 17.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
85%
-4.3pp
10%
Draw
8%
+1.9pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.72
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
507 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
43.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
29.9 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
0W-1D-0L
AWAY GVVV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
17 Corners 1
18.12.2019 GVVV GVVV 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3-0
AWAY GVVV
2.17 xG 1.17
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
712 Passes 153
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven cruised past GVVV 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 78% of the ball to GVVV's 22%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.17 to 1.17.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs GVVV?

PSV Eindhoven 3-0 GVVV in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 81%, draw 10%, GVVV 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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