Den Bosch 2-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
Crosses 35.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-1
AWAY Katwijk
2.05 xG 1.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
411 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 43
23 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch edged past Katwijk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Den Bosch had 58% of the ball to Katwijk's 42%, shots finished 24-20, expected goals 2.05 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Katwijk?

Den Bosch 2-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 46%, draw 21%, Katwijk 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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