Hoek 1-4 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 16 Dec 2025

Hoek
1-4 HT 0-1
Telstar
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.66
No
34%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-11.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
66%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.8pp
34%
BTTS No
44%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoek EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / -69%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoek
1-4
AWAY Telstar
1.12 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 409
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoek vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar swept aside Hoek 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hoek had 45% of the ball to Telstar's 55%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Hoek vs Telstar?

Hoek 1-4 Telstar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoek vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hoek 24%, draw 25%, Telstar 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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