Chippenham Town 1-4 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.66
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.1
6+
12%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United The Market 53%
-3% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.25/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.71
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
14.02.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
06.08.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
30.04.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.09.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-5 HT 1-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
15.12.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-4
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United swept aside Chippenham Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 49% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 51%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chippenham Town and 2.00 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Chippenham Town 1-4 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 25%, draw 22%, Ebbsfleet United 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
17 Jan 2026
18:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Hereford FC Analysis →
18:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town Analysis →
18:00 Farnborough vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Enfield Town Analysis →