AFC Hornchurch 2-0 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.59
2-3
36%
1.89
4-5
27%
2.73
6+
13%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough The Market 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.60/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.45
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
14.12.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
17.08.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
2-0
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch saw off Eastbourne Borough 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 40% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 60%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough?

AFC Hornchurch 2-0 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 44%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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