Farnborough vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farnborough v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals
Farnborough vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Farnborough 0-1 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics
Chesham United squeezed past Farnborough 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farnborough had 51% of the ball to Chesham United's 49%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Farnborough and 1.40 for Chesham United.
What was the final score of Farnborough vs Chesham United?
Farnborough 0-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Chesham United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 41%, draw 28%, Chesham United 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.