Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.07
Over
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.84
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.0
6+
11%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hemel Hempstead Town win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
60%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town The Market 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.82/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.98
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Slough Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Slough Town Slough Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.01.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
07.09.2024 Slough Town Slough Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
19.12.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.04.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
08.10.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town cruised past Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Hemel Hempstead Town carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.67 for Slough Town.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 60%, draw 20%, Slough Town 20%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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