Chesham United vs Farnborough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesham United v Farnborough — Team-Based Signals
Chesham United vs Farnborough Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Chesham United squeezed past Farnborough 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farnborough led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chesham United and 1.75 for Farnborough.
What was the final score of Chesham United vs Farnborough?
Chesham United 3-2 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Farnborough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 27%, draw 26%, Farnborough 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.