Angers 2-5 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.72
Away Pick
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.63
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.22
6+
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.52
1/2
11%
22.7
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
9%
10.65
X/2
22%
4.2
X/X
7%
5.58
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.06
2/X
10%
14.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Angers The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya The Market 62%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.08 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.90
1.70 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.95
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
18.8 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Marsilya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.72 xG 1.97
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 574
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 2-2 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
09.02.2025 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
04.10.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
14.05.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 3-1 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR1
30.09.2022 Angers Angers 0-3 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
04.02.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 5-2 HT 2-2 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-5
AWAY Marsilya
0.93 xG 2.84
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 2
302 Passes 672
85% Pass Accuracy 93%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Angers vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya swept aside Angers 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Angers had 34% of the ball to Marsilya's 66%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.93 to 2.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angers and 2.67 for Marsilya.

Angers vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

Angers 2-5 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Angers vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Angers 20%, draw 23%, Marsilya 57%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026
19:00 Lens vs Auxerre Analysis →
21:00 Toulouse vs Nice Analysis →