Lens vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lens v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Lens vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lens 1-0 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Lens shaded a tight game against Auxerre 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 50%.
Under the surface, Lens had 48% of the ball to Auxerre's 52%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.66 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lens's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lens and 1.33 for Auxerre.
Lens vs Auxerre Result & Final Score
Lens 1 - 0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lens vs Auxerre Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lens 66%, draw 20%, Auxerre 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.