Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Floriana v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals
Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Floriana 3-1 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics
Floriana got the better of Naxxar Lions 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As we said in the preview, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Floriana's favour, shots finished 6-12.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.20 a game for Floriana against 0.40 for Naxxar Lions.
Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Result & Final Score
Floriana 3 - 1 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Floriana 65%, draw 21%, Naxxar Lions 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while BTTS No went the other way.