York City 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.36
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
12%
6.1
X/2
9%
4.94
X/X
12%
4.31
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.25
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.49/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
04.03.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
11.10.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
12.03.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 1-0 York City York City FAK
25.03.2017 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
19.11.2016 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
POST-MATCH York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City and Dagenham & Redbridge shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York City and 1.33 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

York City 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split York City 37%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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