Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

Newcastle United
2-2 HT 0-0
Bournemouth
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
4%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
9%
7.33
X/X
14%
5.7
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
14%
4.7
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.32
+17% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
19.8 Crosses 20.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 298
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
11.02.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
20.12.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNLK
17.09.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
01.07.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-4 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
09.11.2019 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
2-2
AWAY Bournemouth
2.23 xG 2.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
376 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United and Bournemouth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Newcastle United had 63% of the ball to Bournemouth's 37%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.23 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newcastle United and 1.00 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Bournemouth?

Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 43%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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