Abertillery Bluebirds 0-0 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
15.12.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 6-1 HT 3-1 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abertillery Bluebirds and Caerau (Ely) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Abertillery Bluebirds 0-0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 29%, draw 21%, Caerau (Ely) 49%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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