Ponferradina 0-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.21
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.9pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.74/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +86%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lugo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.10 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
286 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
02.04.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
11.12.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
17.04.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
06.11.2021 Lugo Lugo 1-2 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
24.04.2021 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
0-0
AWAY Lugo
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina and Lugo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ponferradina had 50% of the ball to Lugo's 50%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ponferradina and 0.33 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Lugo?

Ponferradina 0-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 44%, draw 31%, Lugo 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ponferradina), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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