Wong Tai Sin 2-4 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
72%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
4.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+7.1pp
15%
Draw
10%
+5.0pp
72%
Away Win
84%
-12.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
22%
+22.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
78%
-22.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 90%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.47/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.97/1.64
-62% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -38%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 539 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wong Tai Sin
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Central & Western
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 5.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 10-1 HT 5-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
12.02.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 6-3 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
28.11.2021 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-1 HT 1-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wong Tai Sin
2-4
AWAY Central & Western
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wong Tai Sin vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western saw off Wong Tai Sin 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wong Tai Sin had 41% of the ball to Central & Western's 59%, shots finished 16-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central & Western led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wong Tai Sin and 5.67 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Wong Tai Sin vs Central & Western?

Wong Tai Sin 2-4 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wong Tai Sin vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Wong Tai Sin 12%, draw 15%, Central & Western 72%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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