Atlanta United 1-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.38
No
54%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.19
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.59
1/2
8%
21.3
1/X
4%
12.05
X/1
12%
6.55
X/2
15%
6.06
X/X
13%
6.32
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
18%
3.18
2/X
7%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
68%
-22.2pp
54%
BTTS No
32%
+22.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.66
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.8 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.97 xG 1.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
353 Passes 532
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
03.11.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.10.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.09.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
30.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-2 HT 3-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
1-2
AWAY Inter Miami
1.29 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
431 Passes 465
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami edged past Atlanta United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 48% of the ball to Inter Miami's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.29 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atlanta United and 1.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Atlanta United 1-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 36%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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