Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
0.92/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.37
-31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2025 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.11.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
05.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
18.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo beat Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fuerte San Francisco at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 0.67 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 42%, draw 27%, Once Deportivo 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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