Southport vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Southport v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Southport 2-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Southport nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As we said in the preview, our model had Southport as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Southport had 59% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 41%, shots finished 13-5.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southport and 1.33 for Alfreton Town.
Southport vs Alfreton Town Result & Final Score
Southport 2 - 1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Southport vs Alfreton Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Southport 51%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.