Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town The Market 48%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.50
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chertsey Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
01.02.2025 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
19.10.2024 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Parkway
3-1
AWAY Chertsey Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway got the better of Chertsey Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Plymouth Parkway made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Plymouth Parkway had 49% of the ball to Chertsey Town's 51%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.00 for Chertsey Town.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 37%, draw 23%, Chertsey Town 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chertsey Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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