Tiverton Town 0-4 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.21
Over
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town The Market 50%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.89/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.88
-35% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
01.03.2025 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 0-5 HT 0-4 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
23.11.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town swept aside Tiverton Town 4-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basingstoke Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Tiverton Town and 2.75 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Tiverton Town 0-4 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 27%, draw 32%, Basingstoke Town 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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