Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United The Market 37%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
0.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.49
-35% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ashton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 1-4 HT 1-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
18.01.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 5-0 HT 2-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
14.09.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
29.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 4-1 HT 2-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Whitby Town
1-2
AWAY Ashton United
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United squeezed past Whitby Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ashton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Whitby Town had 59% of the ball to Ashton United's 41%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Whitby Town and 2.67 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Ashton United?

Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 35%, draw 30%, Ashton United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
17 Mar 2026
22:30 Wimborne Town vs Walton & Hersham Analysis →
22:45 Prescot Cables vs Cleethorpes Town Analysis →
22:45 Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United Analysis →
22:45 Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town Analysis →
22:45 Farnham Town vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
22:45 Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town Analysis →