Union La Calera 3-3 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
+37% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.6 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-2D-3L
AWAY O Higgins
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
260 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.08.2025 O Higgins O Higgins 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
03.03.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
29.08.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.04.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.04.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
3-3
AWAY O Higgins
2.95 xG 2.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
346 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera and O Higgins shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union La Calera had 54% of the ball to O Higgins's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.95 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Higgins led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union La Calera and 1.33 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Union La Calera 3-3 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 37%, draw 29%, O Higgins 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union La Calera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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