Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.80/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.64
+17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
247 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
20.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 ran out comfortable winners over Septemvri Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 60% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 40%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.75 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 53%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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