Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 48% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 25%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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