Botev Vratsa 1-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 51%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.87/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.81
-5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 2-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
12.08.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa squeezed past Cherno More Varna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 46% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 54%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botev Vratsa and 2.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Botev Vratsa 1-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 26%, draw 26%, Cherno More Varna 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
29 Aug 2025
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