Sur 1-1 Al Nahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Profesyonel League, 17 Mar 2026

Sur
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Nahda
📅17/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sur EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nahda EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.57
+53% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
232 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Nahda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2026 Al Nahda Al Nahda 4-2 HT 0-1 Sur Sur UMMSK
03.01.2026 Sur Sur 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMMSK
29.10.2025 Al Nahda Al Nahda 4-2 HT 2-0 Sur Sur UMM
07.03.2025 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-1 Sur Sur UMM
15.09.2024 Sur Sur 0-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
19.10.2023 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-0 HT 1-0 Sur Sur UMMSK
POST-MATCH Sur vs Al Nahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sur and Al Nahda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nahda at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nahda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sur and 2.17 for Al Nahda.

What was the final score of Sur vs Al Nahda?

Sur 1-1 Al Nahda in the Oman - Profesyonel League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sur vs Al Nahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sur 18%, draw 31%, Al Nahda 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nahda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nahda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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