Avai vs Operario PR Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Operario PR — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Operario PR Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
2-0
HT 2-0
Operario PR
BR2
Avai 1-0 Operario PR — Actual Match Statistics
Avai squeezed past Operario PR 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Avai had 43% of the ball to Operario PR's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avai and 0.67 for Operario PR.
What was the final score of Avai vs Operario PR?
Avai 1-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Operario PR?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avai 40%, draw 28%, Operario PR 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.