Paysandu vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR2
3-2
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR2
Paysandu 0-2 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense saw off Paysandu 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Paysandu had 62% of the ball to Chapecoense's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.96 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paysandu had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paysandu and 1.25 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Chapecoense?
Paysandu 0-2 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 47%, draw 29%, Chapecoense 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.