Coritiba 0-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.5
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.07/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.06
-24% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.2 Crosses 21.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
287 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 2-2 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
18.05.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
0-0
AWAY Novorizontino
0.96 xG 0.98
75% Ball Possession 25%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
454 Passes 114
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba and Novorizontino played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Coritiba had 75% of the ball to Novorizontino's 25%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coritiba and 1.00 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Novorizontino?

Coritiba 0-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 39%, draw 34%, Novorizontino 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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