Midtjylland 4-2 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 Apr 2025

Midtjylland
4-2 HT 2-0
Kopenhag
📅17/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Midtjylland vs Kopenhag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.98
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.73
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.2pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v Kopenhag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.38/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.32
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
23.3 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Midtjylland vs Kopenhag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 2.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 Passes 391
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.09.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
16.05.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 2-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
01.03.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
31.10.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland saw off Kopenhag 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Midtjylland and 1.00 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Kopenhag?

Midtjylland 4-2 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 35%, draw 22%, Kopenhag 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kopenhag), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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