Vejle 3-3 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 Apr 2025

Vejle
3-3 HT 1-2
Viborg
📅17/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.9
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
15%
6.92
X/2
13%
5.1
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
20%
2.94
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.30/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.94
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +92%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
18.8 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 3-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
15.09.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-5 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.05.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
07.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
29.10.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
3-3
AWAY Viborg
2.99 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
326 Passes 415
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
42 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and Viborg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vejle had 46% of the ball to Viborg's 54%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.99 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vejle and 2.17 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Viborg?

Vejle 3-3 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vejle 34%, draw 23%, Viborg 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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