Drogheda United vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Drogheda United v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Drogheda United vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Drogheda United 1-3 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks got the better of Drogheda United 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-3.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, St Patricks saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Drogheda United against 1.50 for St Patricks.
Drogheda United vs St Patricks Result & Final Score
Drogheda United 1-3 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Drogheda United vs St Patricks Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 23%, draw 25%, St Patricks 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.