Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Shelbourne v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Shelbourne vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Shelbourne 1-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City squeezed past Shelbourne 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 41% lean on Shelbourne didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.90 (roughly 53%) the price was further off than we were. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 66% to 34% in Shelbourne's favour, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.65 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Shelbourne against 1.00 for Derry City.
Shelbourne vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Shelbourne 1-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 41%, draw 29%, Derry City 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5 went the other way.