Esbjerg 0-0 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.57
X/2
13%
5.91
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.65/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.19
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.6 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hillerod
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.94 xG 2.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 485
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2026 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-2 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
14.09.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 3-0 HT 2-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
24.11.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-2 HT 0-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
29.09.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-0
AWAY Hillerod
1.01 xG 0.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
257 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg and Hillerod played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esbjerg had 40% of the ball to Hillerod's 60%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.01 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Esbjerg and 1.75 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Esbjerg 0-0 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 38%, draw 25%, Hillerod 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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