Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.2
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
8%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.28
X/X
18%
4.02
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
16%
3.69
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.77/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.65
-36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.11.2025 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen beat Bourg en Bresse 01 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Caen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen?

Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 33%, draw 32%, Caen 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
17 Apr 2026
20:30 Quevilly vs Le Puy Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs Rouen Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico Analysis →
20:30 FC Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes Analysis →
20:30 Dijon vs Sochaux Analysis →
20:30 Versailles vs Chateauroux Analysis →