17/04/2026
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
32%
Draw
29%
34%
Away Win
37%
60%
Under 2.5
56%
40%
Over 2.5
44%
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
49%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bourg en Bresse 01 v Caen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bourg en Bresse 01
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Caen
EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
0.77/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.87/1.65
-36%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+46%
/
-31%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
289 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.8
Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bourg en Bresse 01
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Caen
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Caen beat Bourg en Bresse 01 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Caen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen?
Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 33%, draw 32%, Caen 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Caen)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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17 Apr 2026