FC Fleury 91 2-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
19%
5.07
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.35
2/2
14%
4.41
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fleury 91 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.84/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.99
+34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fleury 91
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valenciennes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Fleury 91 FC Fleury 91 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fleury 91
2-0
AWAY Valenciennes
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fleury 91 beat Valenciennes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Fleury 91 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Fleury 91 had 48% of the ball to Valenciennes's 52%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of FC Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?

FC Fleury 91 2-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fleury 91 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Fleury 91 43%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fleury 91), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fleury 91) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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