Villefranche 3-1 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.46
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.18
X/2
8%
6.28
X/X
17%
3.79
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.69
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.25/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.17
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
31.01.2025 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
30.08.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
03.02.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
26.08.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
3-1
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche saw off Paris 13 Atletico 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villefranche as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 53% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paris 13 Atletico led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Villefranche and 0.80 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Villefranche 3-1 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 42%, draw 29%, Paris 13 Atletico 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villefranche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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