Versailles 4-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.5
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.99
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.72/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2025 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-3 HT 1-2 Versailles Versailles FR3
21.03.2025 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-2 HT 0-1 Versailles Versailles FR3
23.10.2024 Versailles Versailles 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
23.02.2024 Versailles Versailles 1-3 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
15.09.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-2 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
03.04.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Versailles
4-0
AWAY Chateauroux
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Versailles ran out comfortable winners over Chateauroux 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Versailles as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Versailles had 54% of the ball to Chateauroux's 46%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Versailles had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Versailles and 1.17 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Chateauroux?

Versailles 4-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Versailles 53%, draw 24%, Chateauroux 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Versailles), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Versailles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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