Versailles 1-3 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.15
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
9%
4.47
X/2
8%
6.51
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
11%
5.34
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.84/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.12
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-2 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
03.04.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
04.11.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Versailles
1-3
AWAY Chateauroux
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux beat Versailles 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Versailles at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Versailles had 57% of the ball to Chateauroux's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Versailles had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Versailles and 0.33 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Chateauroux?

Versailles 1-3 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Versailles 42%, draw 33%, Chateauroux 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Versailles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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